The second theme that comes through in the Chief Minister's recent interview in the Chronic is that he has an ability to sound plausible yet to contradict his own statements in a very short space of time or to make them seem very acceptable when the position adopted by him is not so acceptable. I do not know whether this is a necessary attribute for a politician, I do, however, remember the ability of Sir Joshua to start answering any interview question with the stock phrase "Well yes,no ..." or "Well yes but no ...". At least in his case the ambivalence was obvious. In the case of the present Chief Minister the ambivalence is less clear, yet it is there.
He is quoted in the interview as saying, "I am not obsessed with my own political personal longevity" I am sure there are some who could and would disagree with this statement on their personal knowledge and assessment of Mr Caruana. They do not have to, as Mr Caruana provides the answer himself in reply to the selfsame question from which this quote is taken. Just a few lines further down he says "If the people of Gibraltar ... entrust me with the governance of Gibraltar for another four years, that would be a fifth term." Well. we all know that no other Chief Minister has ever been entrusted with a fifth term, that alone exemplifies "political longevity". The significant statement is the use of the self-obsessive "me" in terms of governance and not to refer to his party, the GSD.
That is not, however what is principally significant. What is principally significant (and so says much about Mr Caruana's personal ambition and focus) is the reason he gives for not going on any longer, beyond a fifth term. He explains, "It is pretty inconceivable that carrying on beyond that is consistent with either what the people of Gibraltar are likely to weather, or indeed with the views I have expressed about my concern for orderly succession and passing the baton to the next generation" [this rather leaves Mr Holliday out of the running]. Well, well, well, his view has come about because he feels he may not win a sixth term (the people will not "weather" me) but, obviously, he feels he can win a fifth term.
I have already questioned (in the immediately preceding blog) his new found desire to achieve succession and continuity for his party but this statement itself belies that desire. What chance remains for his successor to succeed at the next but one election in forming government, if Mr Caruana remains as leader of the GSD? A very small one, I believe. The plain reality is that any successor to Mr Caruana would be better off with an election loss at the forthcoming election, with a view to re-grouping and seeking electoral success in the next but one election.
Mr Caruana then goes on to argue that "I ... mean a renovation of candidates so that the people will see that, to the extent they would welcome a little bit of change in the political scene, that the GSD is delivering change ..." . This may well be his spin but, unfortunately and usually, voters do not believe that "... a little bit of change ..." is actually in the realms of possibility, especially, in a government in which the perception is that a centralised, all powerful individual, the Chief Minister, is exercising the vast majority of power. The recent conversation amongst ministers mistakenly transmitted by GBC is evidence of this, if any were needed, he rules whilst there is no electoral or parliamentary reform.
That is not the central point. The central point is that if there was sincerity in the offer of "... a little bit of change ...", then there must be an inherent risk in that change, namely the "untried" element of the new candidature, yet he contradicts himself by arguing against a change by election of the GSLP because it offers "...untried risk". That is the best argument that I have ever heard against democracy. The very essence of democracy is that, on a change of government, the new government is by definition "untried". Was the GSD not "untried" in 1996? The reality is that a change in the GSD candidature does not offer the electorate any change at all whilst Mr Caruana is at the helm. That is what Mr Caruana is actually saying by his obfuscatory statement.
Mr Caruana believes that "When they elect a Chief Minister, the people are not electing the most popular person. They are not even electing the nicest person, electing someone they want to be their friend. What they are electing is somebody who they believe to be the most competent, reliable, safe option to run their affairs and to give them and their family the best quality of life possible and the greatest degree of political security possible." I hate to disappoint Mr Caruana but voters do not elect a Chief Minister: voters vote for Members of Parliament. The Chief Minister is chosen form amongst MPs of the party with a majority in Parliament. Some parties extend the democratic process by electing its leader, others do not.
That said, I do not argue with much of the substance of what he portrays, save that popularity can and should be courted even whilst delivering those objectives that he identifies. Popularity is a matter of attitude and charisma in the manner that even unpleasant decisions are delivered. There is much room for improvement on this front. It is an important factor that voter do take into account at an election.
He then goes on to say "I think people will be hard put to point out a case in which I have imposed my personal view on Government let alone the community". Well which is his real opinion? This or that he is " ... somebody who they believe to be the most competent, reliable, safe option to run their affairs and to give them and their family the best quality of life possible and the greatest degree of political security possible " which implies single-mindedness and decisiveness and that he is who decides what is best and governs acoordingly : It cannot be both.
It is his next statement that caused me the most surprise because in this same context, he goes on to say "The nearest that we came to [imposing his personal views] was with the reducing of the age of consent, and even then, I allowed my colleagues in the Government a free vote and did not impose any view that I might have on them." He "allowed" ... good god, what character trait does that indicate? The character trait of someone who is " ... not obsessed with my own political personal longevity".
What allowing a free vote did was precisely to lead to an illegality that shifted legislative responsibility to the judiciary from its rightful place, the legislature: that is to surrender responsibility to the wrong arm of government. It is to impose one's religious and moral view by omission, The responsibilities of government include the responsibility to understand and reflect the changes in moral values of society from a secular perspective. It is the responsibility of parents, educators and religious leaders to teach religious and moral values. It was simply not good enough for the Chief Minister to "allow" a free vote. It was simply not good enough for the ministers as a collective to permit the Chief Minister to do this. They should have supported the policy promoted by Danny Feetham, the Justice Minister. They should have imposed their will on him, but will this "change" be brought about by "..a renovation of candidates ..."? If it does not, as I suspect, new candidature will be no change at all.
I accept that the Chief Minister or, better still, the Government should be circumspect and not develop "... an obsession with tomorrow's headline or this afternoon's blog [thank you for this recognition] but not "... because it leads to bad decisions and bad governance". The Chief Minister or any government, totally ignoring these is to ignore alternative opinions and to be self-absorbed, which begins to be indicative of lacking democratic credentials. The press and blogs do not deliver "... bad decisions and bad governance". It is adopting bad ideas and opinions that does so. It is through heeding the press and blogs that criticisms, opinions and ideas are heard and can be assessed as good or bad. These can enhance and improve governance and not hinder it. The press is the fourth estate and freedom of speech essential to democracy; you ignore it at your electoral peril. The Chief Minister has himself recognised the worth of the press and blogs by saying, "... the 'third limb' ... parliamentary reform is something we did not pursue as enthusiastically during this term as we set out to do", an issue that this blog has persistently campaigned for and recently brought to the fore.
He is quoted in the interview as saying, "I am not obsessed with my own political personal longevity" I am sure there are some who could and would disagree with this statement on their personal knowledge and assessment of Mr Caruana. They do not have to, as Mr Caruana provides the answer himself in reply to the selfsame question from which this quote is taken. Just a few lines further down he says "If the people of Gibraltar ... entrust me with the governance of Gibraltar for another four years, that would be a fifth term." Well. we all know that no other Chief Minister has ever been entrusted with a fifth term, that alone exemplifies "political longevity". The significant statement is the use of the self-obsessive "me" in terms of governance and not to refer to his party, the GSD.
That is not, however what is principally significant. What is principally significant (and so says much about Mr Caruana's personal ambition and focus) is the reason he gives for not going on any longer, beyond a fifth term. He explains, "It is pretty inconceivable that carrying on beyond that is consistent with either what the people of Gibraltar are likely to weather, or indeed with the views I have expressed about my concern for orderly succession and passing the baton to the next generation" [this rather leaves Mr Holliday out of the running]. Well, well, well, his view has come about because he feels he may not win a sixth term (the people will not "weather" me) but, obviously, he feels he can win a fifth term.
I have already questioned (in the immediately preceding blog) his new found desire to achieve succession and continuity for his party but this statement itself belies that desire. What chance remains for his successor to succeed at the next but one election in forming government, if Mr Caruana remains as leader of the GSD? A very small one, I believe. The plain reality is that any successor to Mr Caruana would be better off with an election loss at the forthcoming election, with a view to re-grouping and seeking electoral success in the next but one election.
Mr Caruana then goes on to argue that "I ... mean a renovation of candidates so that the people will see that, to the extent they would welcome a little bit of change in the political scene, that the GSD is delivering change ..." . This may well be his spin but, unfortunately and usually, voters do not believe that "... a little bit of change ..." is actually in the realms of possibility, especially, in a government in which the perception is that a centralised, all powerful individual, the Chief Minister, is exercising the vast majority of power. The recent conversation amongst ministers mistakenly transmitted by GBC is evidence of this, if any were needed, he rules whilst there is no electoral or parliamentary reform.
That is not the central point. The central point is that if there was sincerity in the offer of "... a little bit of change ...", then there must be an inherent risk in that change, namely the "untried" element of the new candidature, yet he contradicts himself by arguing against a change by election of the GSLP because it offers "...untried risk". That is the best argument that I have ever heard against democracy. The very essence of democracy is that, on a change of government, the new government is by definition "untried". Was the GSD not "untried" in 1996? The reality is that a change in the GSD candidature does not offer the electorate any change at all whilst Mr Caruana is at the helm. That is what Mr Caruana is actually saying by his obfuscatory statement.
Mr Caruana believes that "When they elect a Chief Minister, the people are not electing the most popular person. They are not even electing the nicest person, electing someone they want to be their friend. What they are electing is somebody who they believe to be the most competent, reliable, safe option to run their affairs and to give them and their family the best quality of life possible and the greatest degree of political security possible." I hate to disappoint Mr Caruana but voters do not elect a Chief Minister: voters vote for Members of Parliament. The Chief Minister is chosen form amongst MPs of the party with a majority in Parliament. Some parties extend the democratic process by electing its leader, others do not.
That said, I do not argue with much of the substance of what he portrays, save that popularity can and should be courted even whilst delivering those objectives that he identifies. Popularity is a matter of attitude and charisma in the manner that even unpleasant decisions are delivered. There is much room for improvement on this front. It is an important factor that voter do take into account at an election.
He then goes on to say "I think people will be hard put to point out a case in which I have imposed my personal view on Government let alone the community". Well which is his real opinion? This or that he is " ... somebody who they believe to be the most competent, reliable, safe option to run their affairs and to give them and their family the best quality of life possible and the greatest degree of political security possible " which implies single-mindedness and decisiveness and that he is who decides what is best and governs acoordingly : It cannot be both.
It is his next statement that caused me the most surprise because in this same context, he goes on to say "The nearest that we came to [imposing his personal views] was with the reducing of the age of consent, and even then, I allowed my colleagues in the Government a free vote and did not impose any view that I might have on them." He "allowed" ... good god, what character trait does that indicate? The character trait of someone who is " ... not obsessed with my own political personal longevity".
What allowing a free vote did was precisely to lead to an illegality that shifted legislative responsibility to the judiciary from its rightful place, the legislature: that is to surrender responsibility to the wrong arm of government. It is to impose one's religious and moral view by omission, The responsibilities of government include the responsibility to understand and reflect the changes in moral values of society from a secular perspective. It is the responsibility of parents, educators and religious leaders to teach religious and moral values. It was simply not good enough for the Chief Minister to "allow" a free vote. It was simply not good enough for the ministers as a collective to permit the Chief Minister to do this. They should have supported the policy promoted by Danny Feetham, the Justice Minister. They should have imposed their will on him, but will this "change" be brought about by "..a renovation of candidates ..."? If it does not, as I suspect, new candidature will be no change at all.
I accept that the Chief Minister or, better still, the Government should be circumspect and not develop "... an obsession with tomorrow's headline or this afternoon's blog [thank you for this recognition] but not "... because it leads to bad decisions and bad governance". The Chief Minister or any government, totally ignoring these is to ignore alternative opinions and to be self-absorbed, which begins to be indicative of lacking democratic credentials. The press and blogs do not deliver "... bad decisions and bad governance". It is adopting bad ideas and opinions that does so. It is through heeding the press and blogs that criticisms, opinions and ideas are heard and can be assessed as good or bad. These can enhance and improve governance and not hinder it. The press is the fourth estate and freedom of speech essential to democracy; you ignore it at your electoral peril. The Chief Minister has himself recognised the worth of the press and blogs by saying, "... the 'third limb' ... parliamentary reform is something we did not pursue as enthusiastically during this term as we set out to do", an issue that this blog has persistently campaigned for and recently brought to the fore.